Hindsight bias - Wikipedia
Hindsight bias, also known as the knew-it-all-along effect or creeping determinism, is the inclination, after an event has occurred, to see the event as having been predictable...
Just David R. Introduction to Behavioral Economics [PDF] - Все для ...
Decision under Risk and Uncertainty Prospect Theory and Decision under Risk or Uncertainty ... Disagreeing with Ourselves: Projection and Hindsight Biases
Practical Examples of Hindsight Bias
Hindsight Bias — An Introduction | Farnam Street
Посыпанова О.С. Экономическая психология: Основные понятия ...
[34] Hawkins, S. A. & Hastie, R. Hindsight: Biased judgements of past events after ... Abelson, R.P. Script processing in attitude formation and decision-making.
Rosenzweig Phil. Left Brain, Right Stuff: How Leaders Make ...
14 апр 2018 ... Left Brain, Right Stuff takes up where other books about decision making leave off. ... only for confirming information or avoiding the hindsight bias. ... of examples in order to propose a new paradigm for decision making in ...
Understanding the Key Aspects of Hindsight Bias With Examples
Optimism, Overconfidence and Entrepreneurial Activity
Oct 10, 2018 ... Article in Management Decision 46(7):986-1001 · August 2008 with 86 Reads ... are conducted using a small sample of Australian entrepreneurs. ... but overconfidence is harmful when making decisions in response to setbacks. .... Cognitive Biases, Risk Perception, and Individual's Decision to Start a New ...
The Hindsight Bias Definition and Example
Metaver / Список когнитивных искажений, улучшенная версия
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Focusing_effect, A cognitive bias that occurs ... on the first piece of information offered (the "anchor") when making decisions. .... « Знание задним числом», Hindsight bias .... For example, for certain types of questions, answers that people rate as "99% certain" turn out to be wrong 40% of the time.
Систематические ошибки в рассуждениях, потенциально ...
(Hindsight bias) ..... скептицизм или интеллектуальная ошибка несогласия ( disconfirmation bias). ...... Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 13(1): 1-17.
Examples of Hindsight Bias
математическая психология как раздел экономической теории
and biases — Tversky, Kahneman,. 1974), которую Д. ... «задним числом» ( hindsight bias —. Fischhoff ...... Camerer C. Individual decision making. // Kagel J.H. ...
[Оставьте этот титульный лист для дисциплины, закрепленной ...
10 фев 2016 ... Special attention will be paid to a process of decision making and assessing consequences. .... Examples of test questions: ... hindsight bias.
Cognitive "Category-Based Induction" Research and Social ...
For example, in one such study, Slater et al. found narrative mes- sages were perceived as more believable than didactic messages about nutrition (Slater, ...
Психологические аспекты корпоративного Форсайта
27 июн 2018 ... прошлого (эффект хиндсайта, hindsight bias), что ..... Barabba V. (2011) The Decision Loom: A Design for Interactive Decision-Making in ...
Decision Making | Bias | Decision Making
Hindsight bias | Britannica.com